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County profile

Lincoln County, Colorado Community Health Profile

Environmental risk, disease burden, provider access, and SDOH scores for community health needs assessment and service line planning. Fused from EPA, CDC, CMS, and Census data into a single free view.

Opportunity Score

32Below Avgout of 100

Env

36

−14 vs U.S. mean

Disease

39

−11 vs U.S. mean

Provider

19

−31 vs U.S. mean

SDOH

41

−9 vs U.S. mean

FIPS: 08073Population: 5,480Risk overview: Near national averages

Specific health risk patterns

No specific risk patterns triggered in Lincoln County; 3 are close to the threshold

3 signals near threshold: Smoke Burden (62) · Respiratory Burden (54) · Runoff Burden (53)

7 signals evaluated. See all signal methodologies →

Where Lincoln County stands

Health risks here sit near national averages

Lincoln County, Colorado sits near the middle of the national distribution on all four major health-risk areas. Pollution exposure, chronic disease rates, doctor access, and social and economic conditions are all within a typical range for U.S. counties — none stand out as the dominant concern. For comparison and trend purposes, this is the kind of community that helps anchor what a typical national profile looks like across all four dimensions.

Methodology: when three or more of the four major health-risk areas (pollution, chronic disease, doctor access, social and economic conditions) score above the 70th national percentile, we call the pattern “multi-pillar convergence.” The scoring approach and citations live on the methodology page.

Risk profile

Lincoln County compared to Colorado and the U.S. average

Four health-risk scores on a 0-100 scale, where 50 is the U.S. average. A higher score means that area is a stronger contributor to community health risk.

Lincoln County four-pillar profile20406080100Disease BurdenEnv RiskSDOH StressProvider Gap

Environmental Risk (36), Disease Burden (39), Provider Gap (19), and SDOH Stress (41) are at or better than the U.S. average.

  • Lincoln County
  • Colorado state mean
  • U.S. mean (50)
  • Signal threshold (70)

Current Conditions

Today's air quality, fires, and weather alerts

Live operational data for Lincoln County: real-time AQI from EPA AirNow, active fires from NIFC, and any National Weather Service advisories. Updated daily.

Current Air Quality
30Good
PM2.5: 5.4 µg/m³ · 2026-05-28
Source: EPA AirNow
Nearest Active Wildfire
24
135 km away · 7,405 acres
0 fires within 100 km · 1 within 200 km
Source: NIFC active fire perimeters

Environmental Factors

Air, water, and exposure indicators

Top environmental indicators for Lincoln County with state and national benchmarks. Full profile covers 40+ metrics on the platform.

IndicatorLincoln CountyCO avgUS avg
EPA AQS / EJSCREEN
5.8
µg/m³
+1.7% vs CO
5.77.4
EPA AQS / EJSCREEN
65.2
ppb
-0.9% vs CO
65.857.1
Traffic Proximity
EJSCREEN
45,424
index
-86% vs CO
323,899291,320
NOAA ACIS
26
days/yr
-31% vs CO
3825
Superfund Proximity
EPA EJSCREEN
0.00
score
-100% vs CO
0.440.16
EPA EJSCREEN
3.11
score
-7.7% vs CO
3.373.39

Wildfire-Attributable Air Quality

Smoke PM2.5 the EPA doesn't count

Stanford peer-reviewed wildfire-attributable PM2.5 for Lincoln County. The EPA classifies wildfire smoke as "exceptional events" and excludes it from official AQS monitoring; Childs/Burke fills that gap with daily county-level data.

Annual mean wildfire PM2.5
1.45 µg/m³
16% of the 9 µg/m³ federal annual standard, on top of background air
Smoke days > 55 µg/m³
0
EPA “unhealthy for sensitive groups” threshold · Negligible
Smoke days > 100 µg/m³
0
EPA “unhealthy” threshold · acute exposure days

Source: Childs et al, Environmental Science & Technology 2022 (Harvard Dataverse 10.7910/DVN/DJVMTV). Latest year shipped: 2020. Burke et al, Nature 2023 estimate that the EPA AQS network undercounts wildfire-attributable PM2.5 by 10–30% in fire-affected counties. Coverage is CONUS only. Full methodology →

Outage Burden

When the grid goes dark

DOE/ORNL EAGLE-I customer-hours-out for Lincoln County in 2024. The fraction is population-normalized via the Maximum Customer Count denominator (Brelsford et al, Sci Data 2024) so it's directly comparable across counties of any size.

Customer-hours-out, 2024
0.03%
of all customer-hours in the year · Routine
Peak customers out
475
in a single 15-minute interval · the year's worst quarter-hour
Intervals > 10,000 out
0
count of 15-minute slots with 10k+ customers out · surge events

Source: DOE/ORNL EAGLE-I (figshare 10.6084/m9.figshare.24237376). Latest year shipped: 2024. Coverage: 3,050 of 3,222 US counties; AK and some sparsely-served rural counties may have no data. Full methodology →

Severe Weather History

Recorded storm events and damages

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database for Lincoln County, 2010–2026. Cumulative + last 5 years of recorded weather events with deaths, injuries, and damages.

Total events (20102026)
357
159 in the last 5 years
Deaths · injuries
0· 0
cumulative across all event types
Property + crop damage
$770K
cumulative reported damages
Events by type
Thunderstorm316
Tornado30
Flood9

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (full history rollup). NOAA buckets ~50 raw event_type strings into 8 health-relevant categories. Coverage: 3,107 of 3,222 US counties; the absent are typically Alaska boroughs and territories where NOAA codes events as forecast zones rather than counties. Full methodology →

Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations

Livestock density and federal-permit confidence

USDA Census of Agriculture (vintage 2022) animal-unit totals for Lincoln County, normalized to land area and ranked nationally. Animal Units (AU) follow the EPA federal definition under 40 CFR §122.23.

CAFO density rank
37thpercentile · Low
National rank of animal units per square mile.
Animal units per sq mi
29.6
Federal CAFO thresholds: 300 AU = “Medium”, 1,000 AU = “Large.” Total AU: 76,202 across 2578 sq mi.
Dominant species
Cattle (beef)
Top contributor to the AU total. Other species may also be present.
Low federal coverage. Likely <20% of large CAFOs federally NPDES-permitted in this state (EPA-IG ~32% national average is heavily skewed toward delegated states).

Source: USDA Census of Agriculture 2022 (head counts) + EPA 40 CFR §122.23 (animal-unit conversion). The CAFO composite deliberately omits NPDES facility counts because federal coverage averages ~32% nationally per EPA-IG and is heavily state-skewed — adding it as a numerator would systematically bias the index toward delegated states. Full methodology →

Pesticide Use

USGS Pesticide National Synthesis

Annual pesticide application rollup for Lincoln County from the USGS Pesticide National Synthesis Project. Most recent year on file: 2019. Mass figures use the EPest_HIGH estimate (the conservative-against-undercounting framing); EPest_LOW is also retained on the underlying data.

Density rank (2019)
58thpercentile · Moderate
National rank of kilograms applied per square mile.
Total mass applied
275.8K kg
107.0 kg/sq mi across 35 distinct compounds.
Top compounds by mass
  1. 1.GLYPHOSATE125.7K kg
  2. 2.2,4-D52.7K kg
  3. 3.ATRAZINE33.1K kg
  4. 4.DICAMBA26.4K kg
  5. 5.METOLACHLOR & METOLACHLOR-S9.0K kg

Source: USGS Pesticide National Synthesis Project (2019). USGS PNSP nationally; year 2019 is preliminary; 2018 unavailable; 2020+ not released. Update reliability medium-low. Full methodology →

Health Outcomes

Chronic disease prevalence

CDC PLACES model-based prevalence estimates for adults in Lincoln County. Full profile covers 15+ health outcomes plus mortality on the platform.

Lincoln County chronic disease prevalence vs. CDC PLACES national benchmarksFrequent mental distress (14+ days)14.517.2Cancer (any, excl. skin)7.18.8COPD6.67.9Coronary heart disease6.07.3Current asthma (adults)9.810.9Diabetes11.410.8Stroke3.23.8Depression21.121.6510152025Prevalence (%)
Lincoln County adult disease prevalence vs. CDC PLACES national benchmarks, ranked by absolute divergence. Green connectors mark conditions where Lincoln County is below the benchmark; terracotta where above.National benchmarkLincoln County
ConditionLincoln CountyCO avgUS avg
Current Asthma
% of adults with current asthma
10.9%
-0.1% vs CO
10.9%10.6%
COPD
% of adults with diagnosed COPD
7.9%
+14% vs CO
6.9%8.6%
Diabetes
% of adults with diagnosed diabetes
10.8%
+1.7% vs CO
10.6%13.7%
Coronary Heart Disease
% of adults with CHD
7.3%
+6.4% vs CO
6.9%7.9%
Depression
% of adults ever diagnosed with depression
21.6%
-2.4% vs CO
22.1%23.1%
Frequent Mental Distress
% of adults with 14+ poor mental health days/month
17.2%
+8.4% vs CO
15.9%17.2%

Vulnerable Medicare Population

Who needs the grid to stay alive

Medicare beneficiaries in Lincoln County who depend on electricity for dialysis, oxygen, or other powered medical equipment. From the HHS emPOWER program, which CMS publishes monthly so emergency managers know who to find first when the power goes out.

PopulationCountPer 1,000 Medicare
Total Medicare beneficiaries
Denominator
1,053
Electricity-dependent (any DME)
Ventilators, oxygen concentrators, IV pumps, motorized wheelchairs
147
139.6
+1.8% vs CO
Dialysis-dependent
ESRD beneficiaries needing in-center or home dialysis
0
0.00
-100% vs CO
Oxygen-dependent
Home oxygen concentrators (outage-vulnerable)
33
31.3
-25% vs CO

Source: HHS emPOWER Map (ArcGIS county layer), May 2026. Counts of 1–10 are masked as “≤10” per HHS privacy rules; per-1,000 rates are derived and still respect the privacy floor. Full methodology →

Provider Supply

Specialty physician density per 100,000 residents

Active providers in Lincoln County from the CMS National Plan and Provider Enumeration System (NPPES). Compared to the U.S. average for each specialty. Adjacency adjustment is applied separately in the Provider Gap pillar score.

SpecialtyLincoln CountyUS avg
Primary Care
Family medicine, internal medicine, general practice, pediatrics.
143.9
per 100k
+10% vs US
130.4
Cardiology
Cardiovascular disease, electrophysiology, interventional cardiology.
18.0
per 100k
+49% vs US
12.1
Psychiatry
Mental health prescribers; complements behavioral health access.
18.0
per 100k
-3.7% vs US
18.7
Neurology
Neurological disease specialists.
18.0
per 100k
+127% vs US
7.9

Source: CMS National Plan and Provider Enumeration System (NPPES). Counts reflect providers with a primary practice address in Lincoln County; specialty is taken from the provider's primary NUCC taxonomy code.

Pro analytical view

What drives this county's scores

The flagged signals and service-line opportunities for Lincoln County, plus the methodology decomposition behind each score. Visible to Pro, Consultant Studio, and Enterprise tiers.

Where to focus

Pro feature

Top flagged signals + service lines are a Pro feature

See how each signal's components blend into its final score, and which signals + service lines this county should prioritize. Available on Professional, Consultant Studio, and Enterprise.

Score decomposition

Each named signal's component breakdown with weights. The bar length is the component's percentile rank; the parenthetical is its weight in the final blend.

Pro feature

Score decomposition is a Pro feature

See how each signal's components blend into its final score, and which signals + service lines this county should prioritize. Available on Professional, Consultant Studio, and Enterprise.

Tract drill-down

Census tracts inside Lincoln County

Pro feature

Tract-level drill-down is a Pro feature

See how each signal's components blend into its final score, and which signals + service lines this county should prioritize. Available on Professional, Consultant Studio, and Enterprise.

On the full platform

What else is available for Lincoln County

The page above is a subset. The free Community account unlocks the full single-county profile: every indicator, every data source, demographics, historical trends, and mortality data. Professional unlocks multi-county comparison, compound signal analysis, service line rankings, and consultant-ready PDF reports.

Full Environmental Profile

All 40+ environmental metrics including toxic releases, hazardous site proximity, PFAS detection, pesticide exposure, and climate stress indicators.

Service Line Opportunities

See how Lincoln County ranks for respiratory, oncology, cardiovascular, renal, endocrine, and behavioral health service line opportunity.

Multi-County Comparison

Compare Lincoln County side-by-side with neighboring counties across every dimension.

Trend Analysis

5-year sparklines for health outcomes, SDOH measures, and mortality rates so you can see where the county is heading, not just where it is today.

PDF Report Export

Generate a consultant-ready environmental health briefing for Lincoln County with methodology citations. Drops straight into a CHNA or grant application.

See pricing →

Nearby Counties

Counties bordering Lincoln County

Adjacent county profiles with their own scores and environmental health data. Source: Census Bureau County Adjacency File.

Data sources: EPA AQS, EPA EJSCREEN, EPA TRI, CDC PLACES, CDC WONDER, CMS NPPES, Census ACS, County Health Rankings, NOAA ACIS, NCI State Cancer Profiles. Every score on this page is derived from publicly available federal data, fused by the Banana Analytics pipeline.

Methodology: See the full scoring methodology (v1.2.0) for weights, sensitivity analysis, and validation against county-level mortality data.

Last refreshed: May 28, 2026